ELYRIS LABSIN SILICO ONCOLOGY Back to the physics chapter
Chapter 02 — Physics03 / 03

Potency only counts where the drug arrives.

A compound has an activity. A tumour has a geometry. The number that decides an outcome is the overlap between them, and it is the number a well plate cannot produce.

The problem

A potency value is a statement about a concentration: at this concentration, this fraction of cells responds. It says nothing about whether that concentration ever exists anywhere in a tumour.

So two compounds can carry the same potency and behave nothing alike in tissue, and the ranking that came out of the plate can be exactly inverted by the geometry. This is not an edge case. It is one of the ordinary ways a programme spends two years finding out something the first spatial calculation would have said.

What LURA computes

Exposure is where the transport field and the gradient fields are read together against the compound activity. For every position in the modelled tissue, at every point in the schedule, the question is simple: is the free concentration here above what this compound needs, in the local conditions here.

  • The share of tumour volume that reaches a therapeutic concentration
  • How long it stays there, because a brief crossing is not an exposure
  • Where the shortfall is, described as a region rather than as a deficit
  • How that changes with dose, with schedule, and between candidates
A dose increase that doubles systemic exposure and does not move the covered volume is a toxicity increase and nothing else. That is visible here before it is expensive.

What comes out

The comparison a portfolio decision actually needs: not which molecule is most potent, but which one covers most of the tumour it is meant to treat, and what it would take to cover the rest.

Where the answer is that a region is never reached, LURA says so plainly and names it, instead of returning a lower average that hides it. A named failure is a design brief. An averaged one is a surprise later.

What this does not claim

Coverage is computed for the tissue description given. It is a modelled quantity, and it inherits the confidence of the transport and gradient fields it is read from.

It is a statement about drug arrival and local conditions. It is not a survival prediction, and LURA does not convert it into one.

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